Monday, May 19, 2025

What's in a record

Wandering around the Web, I found an interesting observation in a discussion of climate change and the reluctance to accept the scientific consensus.

A commenter wrote:

The record high for India was in 2016. Check out these record highs from around the world. Far more highs a few to several years ago than within the past couple of years. What does that tell a thinking person?

And they gave a link to a Wikipedia page with world weather records: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_weather_records

Which got me wondering, What does that tell a thinking person?

I scrolled through the list of record highs and noticed that, indeed, there were a lot of dates from before the 21st century and thought that was interesting.

Then I started wondering what we might expect the data to look like if there were no warming.

And my thought was that they should be evenly distributed through time.

So I threw them in Excel and took a look:

And I thought, "That doesn't look very random!"